GCR和他的交易策略
概要:GCR,被誉为史上最佳的加密货币交易员,从1000美元交易至10亿美元。他预言山寨币季节(altszn)即将到来,其交易策略被详细分析并分享。策略要点包括:利用传言买入,新闻卖出;在趋势初期增加风险,随着时间推移保护资本;偏好新币种;关注市场对新闻的反应而非新闻本身;及时止损并让盈利持续;重视市场对整数的心理预期;锁定利润;专注于流行叙事;利用空投增加小额投资组合的价值;最后,长期持有可能优于频繁交易。GCR的成功在于其对市场心理和趋势的深刻理解,以及在适当时机锁定利润的能力。本文原文为英文(无图英文版附后),中文内容为机器翻译。内容来源:𝗰𝘆𝗰𝗹𝗼𝗽@nobrainflip。发文时间:2024年4月15日
这是GCR – 有史以来最好的加密货币交易员。
他通过交易山寨币将1000美元变成了10亿美元。
昨天,他说替代币季节即将到来。
我花了几个小时分析他的推文,这里就是他的交易策略:这是你在这个替代币季节赚到第一个百万的关键🧵👇
@GCR,GRC,或Giant Cassock Revival,是这样一个人,他:
• 一直在FTX顶级交易员排行榜上名列前茅
• 在加密货币上从1000美元赚了超过10亿
昨天,他发推说现在是最好的入市时机。
x.com/gcrclassic/sta…
这是一个明确的暗示,他相信即将到来的替代币季节,这意味着我们需要做好准备,他正是我们应该学习的人。
所以我花了很多小时仔细分析他的策略,使之更易于所有人理解,即使是初学者。
它在这里:
我首先声明一下:
我可能很快就会将我的个人资料设为私有,所以请确保关注我并书签第一篇推文,这样你以后就不会丢失它。
1/➮ 传言买入,新闻卖出
✧ “讽刺的是,对于$DOGE来说,最好的看涨路径可能是如果马斯克没有将其整合到推特中,而只是提到它,开玩笑等等,”GCR说。
✧ 这是一个相当扎实的计划,许多看到这些暗示的人都赚了几百万
✧ 因此规则是:当很少有人知道时买入传言,当注意力已经达到顶峰时卖出新闻,反之亦然
2/➮ “在替代币周期内,当趋势首次逆转时,你应该增加风险,并随着时间的推移逐渐保护资本”
✧ 人们似乎总是做相反的事情。
✧ 所以,跟随趋势,在它们首次出现时冒险,而不是在它已经上涨了100倍之后。
3/➮ 新币 > 老币
✧ GCR相信新代币比老代币更好,原因如下
新代币是:
充满希望
缺乏持币者
团队仍然有动力
✧ 所以与其交易市值数十亿美元的代币,不如寻找新的机会
4/➮ 市场对新闻的反应 > 新闻的真实性
✧ 当新闻影响价格时,市场参与者往往会关注它是真的还是假的。
✧ “更多时候,标题的真实性并不重要,”GCR相信。
✧ 所以总是关注市场对新闻的反应,而不是新闻本身
5/➮ 及时止损,让盈利持续
✧ “GCR建议像对待拳击手一样思考你的交易,而不是硬币;赢家赢,输家输。
✧ 但出于某种原因,许多人仍然做相反的事情。
✧ “所以快速止损,让你的赢家继续交易,”GCR建议。
6/➮ 整数是”谢林点”
✧ 出于某种原因,整数经常成为更大增长的点
✧ GCR说,硬整数是模糊估值、反射性资产的明显汇聚点;尊重谢林点。
只要记住这一点
7/➮ 锁定利润
✧ “财富直到变现才算财富,”GCR说。
✧ 记住,利润是你已经提取到稳定币或法定货币的部分
✧ 成交量 > 市值 = 看跌信号
✧ 我更喜欢分阶段锁定利润,20%-30%-50%,但这取决于你的投资组合
8/➮ 关注叙事
✧ 这里有一个GCR常用的流行短语:”追逐两只兔子的人一只也抓不到”
✧ 尝试专注于一个目前流行的叙事/事情,在那里赚钱,然后继续前进
你不会通过同时尝试处理10个主题来赚钱
9/➮ 当你有一个小投资组合时,空投是你的关键
✧ GCR相信,在加密货币中,用小额资本能做的最好的事情就是参与空投。
这里是如何参与所有2024年空投的终极剧本:
x.com/nobrainflip/st…
下面是我𝗰𝘆𝗰𝗹𝗼𝗽𝗰𝘆𝗰𝗹𝗼𝗽@nobrainflip参与空投的战果:
从500美元开始,我今年在空投上赚了50万美元以上。
我得到了150,000美元的$STRK
我得到了75,000美元的$AEVO
我得到了240,000美元的$ARB
我得到了20,000美元的$OP
我得到了15,000美元的$JTO
我得到了10,000美元的$TIA
我得到了9,000美元的$MEME
我得到了7,000美元的$ZETA
10/➮ 持有 > 交易
✧ 在他2023年离开之前的最后一条推文中,GCR宣布印钞不会停止,最终持有者将超过交易者
“ETH达到10,000美元指日可待。” – 这就是他说的
This is GCR – the best crypto trader to ever exist.
He turned $1k into $1 billion by trading alts.
Yesterday, he said that altszn is coming.
I spent hours analyzing his tweets, and here’s his trading strategy: the key to ur first million this altseason 🧵👇
Before I begin, I have a favor to ask…
I spent a lot of time writing this thread, trying to make genuinely useful for you, so if it’s not too much trouble, please bookmark it, retweet, leave a comment, or simply hit like 🤍
@GCR, GRC, or Giant Cassock Revival, is a man who:
• has consistently been ranked in FTX’s Top Traders leaderboard
• has made 1+ billion from $1k on crypto
Yesterday, he tweeted that now is the best time to enter the market.
x.com/gcrclassic/sta…
This is a clear hint that he believes in the upcoming altseason, which means we need to be ready, and he is exactly the person to learn from.
So I spent many hours meticulously dissecting his strategy to make it more accessible to everyone, even beginners.
Here it is:
Disclaimer:
I’ll likely make my profile private soon, so make sure to follow me and bookmark the first tweet, so you won’t lose it later.
1/➮ Buy the rumours, sell the news
✧ “Ironically, the best bullish path for $DOGE would have been if Musk didn’t integrate it into Twitter but simply mentioned it, joked about it, etc.,” says GCR.
✧ It was a pretty solid plan, and many who saw these hints made millions
✧ Hence the rule: buy the rumors when few people know about it, and sell the news when attention is already at its peak, not vice-versa
2/➮ “Within alt cycles, you should crank up risk when the trend first reverses, and begin to gradually protect capital as time passes”
✧ People always seem to do the opposite.
✧ So, follow the trends, and take risks when they first emerge, not when it has already given 100x.
3/➮ New coins > old coins
✧ GCR believes that new tokens are better than old ones, and here’s why
New tokens are:
– Full of hope
– Lacking bagholders
– The team is still hungry
✧ So instead of trading tokens with $billions MC, it’s better to look for new opportunities
4/➮ The market reacts to news > Validity of this news
✧ When news impacts the price, market players often fixate on whether it’s true or not true.
✧ “More often than not, the actual veracity of the headline is immaterial,” GCR believes.
✧ So always look at how the market reacts to the news, rather than the news itself
5/➮ Cut your losses and let ur winners run
✧ “GCR recommends thinking of ur deals like prizefighters rather than coins; winners win and losers lose.
✧ Yet for some reason, many still do the opposite.
✧ “So cut your losses fast and let your winners trade live,” GCR advises.
6/➮ Round numbers are “Schelling points”
✧ For some reason, round numbers often become points of even greater growth
✧ GCR says that hard round numbers are obvious convergence points on nebulously valued, reflexive assets; respect the Schelling point.
Just keep it in mind
7/➮ Fix profits
✧ “Wealth isn’t wealth until it’s realized,” says GCR.
✧ Remember that profit is what you’ve already withdrawn into stables or fiat
✧ Volume > MC = bear signal
✧ I prefer to lock in profits in stages, at 20%-30%-50%, but it depends on your portfolio
8/➮ Focus on narrative
✧ Here’s a popular phrase used by GCR: “He who chases two rabbits catches neither”
✧ Try to focus on one narrative/thing that is currently popular, make money there, and move on
You won’t make money trying to juggle 10 topics at once
9/➮ Airdrops are your key when you have a small portfolio
✧ GCR believes that the best thing you can do in crypto with a small capital is to farm airdrops.
Here is the ultimate playbook on how to farm all 2024 airdrops:
x.com/nobrainflip/st…
𝗰𝘆𝗰𝗹𝗼𝗽
𝗰𝘆𝗰𝗹𝗼𝗽
@nobrainflip
Apr 08
View on Twitter
Airdrops – ur key to first million with $0 & close to no effort.
Starting with $500, I made $500k+ on airdrops this year.
I got $150,000 $STRK
I got $75,000 $AEVO
I got $240,000 $ARB
I got $20,000 $OP
I got $15,000 $JTO
I got $10,000 $TIA
I got $9,000 $MEME
I got $7,000 $ZETA
Here’s my airdrop mega-thread: everything u need to make 6 figs this year with almost no expenses
1/33👇
Show this thread
10/➮ Holding > Trading
✧ In his last tweet before stepping away in 2023, GCR declared that the money printing won’t stop and eventually holders will outperform traders
“ETH at 10k is one day programmed.” – This is what he said